Banfield enter this tie with the capacity to control tempo and press high, which makes the result market tilt towards the home side even as the knockout setting opens the game up. Banfield's recent cup numbers show three goals scored and a clean sheet in the available match data; that attacking output combined with home advantage supports a straightforward win selection. Opposing that, San Martín de Tucumán have scant offensive returns in the provided sample and will be set up to frustrate, creating a credible upset path that inflates the outright price.
The goals argument flows from the same pattern. Knockout games often become more direct after a score change, and a specialist preview site explicitly recommends Over 1.5 Goals at around 1.52. Banfield's tendency to control possession and probe high creates shots and transitions; San Martín's likely deep defensive block invites half-chances and set-piece threats. That mix produces a match where one or two clear-cut opportunities are likely, making a low total unlikely.
A correlated angle is both teams to score. The voting among match previews is skewed towards an open contest; while San Martín lack recent goal numbers, elimination psychology and their set-piece threat produce real scoring chances. Collectively, most previews favour an open outcome rather than a sterile defensive slog, which supports markets that profit from at least one goal at each end.
Against all of that, a conservative scenario exists: a dour, low-tempo tie decided by penalties after 0–0 or 1–0, triggered if San Martín sit ultra-deep and Banfield struggle to break lines. That outcome would defeat goal-based plays and lift the outright value in favour of an upset. Expect markets to react quickly to any early score; early pressure from Banfield should shape where value appears later in-play.
