Dinamo Zagreb's superior midfield control and tendency to convert chances on the road creates the primary betting angle: the away side to win or at least avoid defeat. Dinamo arrive with clear backing from tipsters and a string of positive results; several previews list them as favourites and price their win in the 1.8–2.0 range. That market is straightforward because Thun have defensive frailties — betting sources note goals conceded across recent matches — so the simplest route is to side with Dinamo in the result market while respecting the small upset risk at Stockhorn Arena.
A complementary angle targets both teams scoring. Thun's home matches have been open at times and Dinamo possess attacking players who score away, so BTTS trades well against a low Over/Under baseline. One reputable preview explicitly recommends Over 2.0 goals and another highlights both teams finding the net; those signals push the market toward expecting goals rather than a sterile tactical draw. The trade-off is that a one-sided Dinamo shutout would nullify this line, but the weight of preview material tilts to BTTS: Yes.
A third angle is a specific scoreline that blends the two ideas: a narrow Dinamo win with Thun scoring. Correct-score markets reflect this logic with attractive multiples. A 1-2 away win pays well because it assumes Dinamo control midfield phases enough to score twice while Thun's home cuts and set-piece threats still produce one goal. That pick reconciles the consensus backing of Dinamo with the sources noting Thun's ability to get on the scoresheet.
Taken together, the betting picture favours backing Dinamo outright or with a safety net, while seeking value in goal markets that expect an open, attacking pattern. If market prices compress toward a heavy favourite, the value moves to specific scorelines and BTTS permutations that capture both Dinamo's finishing and Thun's defensive lapses.
A clear market tilt toward Dinamo should shape early books and in-play pricing over the first half.
