Fredrikstad FK vs HamKam 2026-05-16 16/05/2026 Betting Tips

Best Bets of the Match

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Bet Analysis / Summary

Fredrikstad's defensive record at Fredrikstad Stadion is the clearest starting point for market thinking. They have conceded 17 goals this season and kept zero clean sheets at home, which makes a home-heavy defensive shut‑down unlikely. That vulnerability opens two coherent angles: an away double‑chance that minimises risk, and goals markets that target an open game.

HamKam arrive with steadier defensive returns (12 conceded, two clean sheets) and an unbeaten run in their last four matches with three wins, a pattern that explains why several previews price an away double‑chance around 1.80–1.90. That line trades safety for lower returns and works because Fredrikstad are on a slide: recent form samples from tipsters stress four straight defeats and a fragile back line. At the same time, Fredrikstad have produced a high proportion of over 2.5 fixtures at home (one model cites c.67%), so a goals leaning is credible and offers slightly better odds in the 1.70–2.20 window.

Those two views collide with a third market derived from discipline and tempo metrics. The seasonal yellow‑card counts (Fredrikstad 11, HamKam 10) plus a likely frantic transition game suggest the card count could rise above the quiet baseline seen in other fixtures. That creates value in match infractions and in‑play lines if the game opens early.

Arguments against a goals-heavy approach include HamKam's capacity to control tempo and force low-possession, organised phases that limit clear chances — a scenario advanced by a minority of forecasters. But the bulk of the available data points to an open first 45 and a vulnerable Fredrikstad defence, which blends with HamKam's counter strengths.

Markets to watch pre-match are Draw No Bet for HamKam as a protection play, BTTS/Over 2.5 for the primary goals angle, and a high-odds home win as a speculative alternative should Fredrikstad revert to a sharper attacking setup.

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Match Analysis

Fredrikstad arriva alla sfida con una serie negativa e una difesa vulnerabile; HamKam mostra dati difensivi più solidi e una recente striscia positiva. Fredrikstad ha subito 17 gol e non ha mantenuto la porta inviolata nelle gare casalinghe; HamKam ha subito 12 e conta due clean sheet. La partita tenderà ad aprirsi nelle transizioni, dove gli spazi lasciati dai padroni di casa possono essere sfruttati dagli ospiti. Se Fredrikstad decidesse di adottare un assetto molto difensivo con cinque difensori, il quadro cambierebbe e diventerebbe più chiuso, ma altrimenti i numeri indicano una partita con occasioni e gol.

How much does Fredrikstad FK vs HamKam pay today? — Odds May 16, 2026

Loading odds…
Bookmaker 1X2
1.95 3.60 3.30
1.97 3.55 3.50
1.95 3.60 3.40
1.95 3.60 3.40
2.00 3.40 3.40
1.95 3.50 2.90
1.90 3.66 3.40
1.95 3.40 3.25
1.95 3.25 3.00
2.00 3.60 3.40
1.95 3.60 3.30
2.00 3.60 3.30
1.93 3.50 3.45
1.95 3.60 3.30
1.95 3.40 3.25
1.95 3.50 3.25
1.95 3.60 3.30
1.95 3.60 3.30
1.95 3.60 3.30
2.00 3.40 3.30
Displayed odds are advertising content from listed bookmakers. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

Expert analyser

Pick
No Goal @ 2.15
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
X2 @ 1.85
Bookmaker
Betflag
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Summary

The match between Fredrikstad and HamKam is anticipated to have no goals scored, making it a potentially low-scoring affair. Betting options include various outcomes, with a focus on the likelihood of both teams failing to score.

The match between Fredrikstad and HamKam is expected to be dynamic with multiple scoring opportunities. Fredrikstad is likely to dominate the game, but HamKam has the capability to exploit defensive weaknesses. The betting market for 'Over 2.5 goals' has been successful in 67% of Fredrikstad's home matches.

Fredrikstad is struggling with four consecutive losses and needs to bounce back to avoid falling further in the standings. Ham Kam, on the other hand, has been impressive, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches with three victories during this period. The value lies in betting on Ham Kam to win or draw.

  • Experts are divided on the expected scoreline, with roughly a third predicting a goalless stalemate, a similar proportion backing Over 2.5 goals, and another segment favouring a cautious HamKam double chance.
  • Analysts highlight conflicting signals around Fredrikstad FK, as some point to a strong home goals record while others emphasise recent poor form and defensive vulnerability.
  • A notable subset of tipsters regard HamKam as the safer selection to avoid defeat, citing their recent unbeaten run and better recent results.
  • Overall betting consensus is mixed and leans towards conservative markets (double chance, goals over/under) rather than a confident single-team win, reflecting uncertainty among analysts.

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